jae lee argued march decided june petitioner jae lee moved south korea parents years spent country never returned south korea become citizen living instead lawful permanent resident federal officials received tip confidential informant lee sold informant ecstasy marijuana obtaining warrant officials searched lee house found drugs cash loaded rifle lee admitted drugs grand jury indicted one count possessing ecstasy intent distribute lee retained counsel entered plea discussions government plea process lee repeatedly asked attorney whether face deportation attorney assured deported result pleading guilty based assurance lee accepted plea sentenced year day prison lee fact pleaded guilty aggravated felony immigration nationality act contrary attorney advice subject mandatory deportation result plea see iii lee learned consequence filed motion vacate conviction sentence arguing attorney provided constitutionally ineffective assistance evidentiary hearing lee counsel testified deportation determinative issue lee deciding whether accept plea lee counsel acknowledged although lee defense charge weak known lee deported upon pleading guilty advised go trial magistrate judge recommended lee plea set aside conviction vacated district however denied relief sixth circuit affirmed applying test ineffective assistance claims strickland washington sixth circuit concluded government conceded lee counsel performed deficiently lee show prejudiced attorney erroneous advice held lee demonstrated prejudiced counsel erroneous advice pp defendant claims counsel deficient performance deprived trial causing accept plea defendant show prejudice demonstrating reasonable probability counsel errors pleaded guilty insisted going trial hill lockhart lee contends make showing never accepted guilty plea known result deportation government contends lee show prejudice accepting plea hope trial something unexpected unpredictable might occur lead acquittal pp government makes two errors urging adoption per se rule defendant viable defense show prejudice denial right trial first forgets categorical rules ill suited inquiry demands examination totality evidence williams taylor internal quotation marks omitted strickland fundamentally overlooks hill lockhart inquiry focuses defendant decisionmaking may turn solely likelihood conviction trial decision whether plead guilty also involves assessing respective consequences conviction trial plea see ins cyr consequences defendant perspective similarly dire even smallest chance success trial may look attractive lee deportation time prison meaningfully different deportation somewhat less time says accordingly rejected plea leading deportation favor throwing hail mary trial pointing strickland government urges defendant entitlement luck lawless decisionmaker statement however made context discussing presumption reliability applied judicial proceedings place defendant deprived proceeding altogether inquiry focused individual defendant done possibility even highly improbable result may pertinent extent affected defendant decisionmaking pp courts upset plea solely post hoc assertions defendant pleaded attorney deficiencies rather look contemporaneous evidence substantiate defendant expressed preferences unusual circumstances case lee adequately demonstrated reasonable probability rejected plea known lead mandatory deportation lee attorney testified deportation determinative issue lee responses plea colloquy confirmed importance placed deportation strong connections ties south korea government argues lee convince decision reject plea bargain rational circumstances padilla kentucky since deportation almost certainly result trial unlike government say irrational someone lee position risk additional prison time exchange holding chance avoiding deportation pp reversed remanded roberts delivered opinion kennedy ginsburg breyer sotomayor kagan joined thomas filed dissenting opinion alito joined except part gorsuch took part consideration decision case opinion notice opinion subject formal revision publication preliminary print reports readers requested notify reporter decisions washington typographical formal errors order corrections may made preliminary print goes press jae lee petitioner writ certiorari appeals sixth circuit june chief justice roberts delivered opinion petitioner jae lee indicted one count possessing ecstasy intent distribute although lived country life lee citizen feared criminal conviction might affect status lawful permanent resident attorney assured nothing worry government deport pleaded guilty lee real defense charge opted accept plea carried lesser prison sentence faced trial lee attorney wrong conviction meant lee subject mandatory deportation country lee seeks vacate conviction ground accepting plea received ineffective assistance counsel violation sixth amendment everyone agrees lee received objectively unreasonable representation question presented whether show prejudiced result jae lee moved south korea time parents settled family new york city opened small coffee shop graduating business high school manhattan lee set memphis tennessee started working restaurant three years lee decided try hand running business assistance family lee opened mandarin palace chinese restaurant memphis suburb mandarin success lee eventually opened second restaurant nearby years spent country lee never returned south korea become citizen living instead lawful permanent resident time running lawful businesses lee also engaged illegitimate activity confidential informant told federal officials lee sold informant approximately ecstasy pills two ounces hydroponic marijuana course eight years officials obtained search warrant lee house found ecstasy pills three valium tablets cash loaded rifle lee admitted drugs given ecstasy friends grand jury indicted lee one count possessing ecstasy intent distribute violation lee retained attorney entered plea discussions government attorney advised lee going trial risky pleaded guilty receive lighter sentence convicted trial app lee informed attorney noncitizen status repeatedly asked whether face deportation result criminal proceedings attorney told lee deported result pleading guilty lee based assurance lee accepted plea district sentenced year day prison though deferred commencement lee sentence two months lee manage restaurants holiday season lee quickly learned however prison term consequence plea lee pleaded guilty qualifies aggravated felony immigration nationality act noncitizen convicted offense subject mandatory deportation see iii ins upon learning deported serving sentence lee filed motion vacate conviction sentence arguing attorney provided constitutionally ineffective assistance evidentiary hearing lee motion lee counsel testified deportation determinative issue lee decision whether accept plea report recommendation wd pp report recommendation fact lee explained attorney became pretty upset every time something comes always ask immigration status lawyer always said worrying something need worry app according lee lawyer assured deportation plea agreement government deport ibid lee attorney testified thought lee case bad case try lee defense charge weak attorney nonetheless acknowledged known lee deported upon pleading guilty advised go trial based hearing testimony magistrate judge recommended lee plea set aside conviction vacated received ineffective assistance counsel district however denied relief applying test ineffective assistance claims strickland washington district concluded lee counsel performed deficiently giving improper advice deportation consequences plea light overwhelming evidence lee guilt lee almost certainly found guilty received significantly longer prison sentence subsequent deportation gone trial order wd order lee therefore show prejudiced attorney erroneous advice viewing resolution issue debatable among jurists reason district granted certificate appealability appeals sixth circuit affirmed denial relief appeal government conceded performance lee attorney deficient establish prejudiced deficient performance explained lee required show reasonable probability counsel errors pleaded guilty insisted going trial quoting hill lockhart internal quotation marks omitted lee bona fide defense even weak one stood gain nothing going trial prison time relying circuit precedent holding rational defendant charged deportable offense facing overwhelming evidence guilt proceed trial rather take plea deal shorter prison sentence appeals concluded lee show prejudice internal quotation marks omitted granted certiorari ii sixth amendment guarantees defendant effective assistance counsel critical stages criminal proceeding including enters guilty plea lafler cooper hill demonstrate counsel constitutionally ineffective defendant must show counsel representation fell objective standard reasonableness prejudiced result strickland first requirement issue today case government concedes lee counsel provided inadequate representation assured lee deported pleaded guilty brief question whether lee show prejudiced erroneous advice claim ineffective assistance counsel often involve claim attorney error course legal proceeding example counsel failed raise objection trial present argument appeal roe defendant raising claim demonstrate prejudice showing reasonable probability counsel unprofessional errors result proceeding different quoting strickland internal quotation marks omitted case counsel deficient performance arguably led judicial proceeding disputed reliability rather forfeiture proceeding defendant alleges counsel deficient performance led accept guilty plea rather go trial ask whether gone trial result trial different result plea bargain ordinarily apply strong presumption reliability judicial proceedings accord presumption judicial proceedings never took place internal quotation marks omitted instead consider whether defendant prejudiced denial entire judicial proceeding right held hill lockhart defendant claims counsel deficient performance deprived trial causing accept plea defendant show prejudice demonstrating reasonable probability counsel errors pleaded guilty insisted going trial dissent contends defendant must also show better going trial true defendant decision going trial turns prospects success affected attorney error instance defendant alleges lawyer seek suppress improperly obtained confession premo moore hill discussing failure investigate potentially exculpatory evidence errors however sort lee knew correctly prospects acquittal trial grim attorney error nothing error instead one affected lee understanding consequences pleading guilty confronted precisely kind error hill see claimed error counsel erroneous advice eligibility parole rather asking hypothetical trial played absent error considered whether adequate showing defendant properly advised opted go trial rejected defendant claim alleged special circumstances might support conclusion placed particular emphasis parole eligibility deciding whether plead guilty lee hand argues establish prejudice hill never accepted guilty plea known deported result lee insists gambled trial risking jail time whatever small chance might acquittal let remain government responds since lee viable defense trial almost certainly lost found still subject deportation lengthier prison sentence boot lee government contends show prejudice accepting plea hope trial something unexpected unpredictable might occur lead acquittal government asks like appeals adopt per se rule defendant viable defense show prejudice denial right trial brief general matter makes sense defendant realistic defense charge supported sufficient evidence unable carry burden showing prejudice accepting guilty plea elevating general proposition per se rule government makes two errors first forgets categorical rules ill suited inquiry emphasized demands examination totality evidence williams taylor internal quotation marks omitted strickland fundamentally government overlooks inquiry prescribed hill lockhart focuses defendant decisionmaking may turn solely likelihood conviction trial defendant without viable defense highly likely lose trial defendant facing long odds rarely able show prejudice accepting guilty plea offers better resolution likely trial prejudice inquiry context looks probability conviction sake instead defendants obviously weigh prospects trial deciding whether accept plea see hill defendant plausible chance acquittal trial highly likely accept plea government offers one common sense mention precedent recognizes consider simply likelihood success trial decision whether plead guilty also involves assessing respective consequences conviction trial plea see ins cyr consequences defendant perspective similarly dire even smallest chance success trial may look attractive example defendant realistic defense charge carrying sentence may nevertheless choose trial prosecution plea offer years lee alleges avoiding deportation determinative factor deportation time prison meaningfully different deportation somewhat less time says accordingly rejected plea leading deportation even shaved prison time favor throwing hail mary trial government urges circumstances possibility acquittal trial irrelevant prejudice inquiry pointing statement strickland defendant entitlement luck lawless decisionmaker statement however made context discussing presumption reliability apply judicial proceedings explained presumption place defendant deprived proceeding altogether presumptively reliable proceeding possibility arbitrariness whimsy caprice like must definition ignored strickland instead asking individual defendant done possibility even highly improbable result may pertinent extent affected surmounting strickland high bar never easy task padilla kentucky strong societal interest finality special force respect convictions based guilty pleas timmreck courts upset plea solely post hoc assertions defendant pleaded attorney deficiencies judges instead look contemporaneous evidence substantiate defendant expressed preferences unusual circumstances case conclude lee adequately demonstrated reasonable probability rejected plea known lead mandatory deportation question deportation determinative issue lee decision whether accept plea deal report recommendation see also order noting government dispute testimony effect lee asked attorney repeatedly whether risk deportation proceedings lee attorney testified evidentiary hearing lee gone trial known deportation consequences see report recommendation noting undisputed fact lee aware deportation possible result guilty plea pled guilty adopted relevant part order lee demonstrated much plea colloquy judge warned conviction result deported asked oes affect decision whether want plead guilty lee answered yes honor app judge inquired ow affect decision lee responded understand turned attorney advice ibid lee counsel assured judge statement standard warning lee willing proceed plead guilty reason doubt paramount importance lee placed avoiding deportation deportation always particularly severe penalty padilla internal quotation marks omitted recognized client right remain may important client potential jail sentence quoting cyr alteration internal quotation marks omitted see also padilla eportation integral part indeed sometimes important part penalty may imposed noncitizen defendants plead guilty specified crimes omitted time plea lee lived nearly three decades established two businesses tennessee family member care elderly parents naturalized american citizens contrast strong connections indication ties south korea never returned since leaving child government argues however padilla kentucky defendant must convince decision reject plea bargain rational circumstances government contends lee make showing going deported either way going trial result longer sentence inevitable consequence see brief agree irrational defendant lee position reject plea offer favor trial attorney incompetence lee known accepting plea agreement certainly lead deportation going trial almost certainly deportation determinative issue individual plea discussions lee individual strong connections country lee consequences taking chance trial markedly harsher pleading case almost make difference balanced holding chance avoiding deportation year two prison time see everyone lee position make choice reject plea say irrational lee claim accepted plea known lead deportation backed substantial uncontroverted evidence accordingly conclude lee demonstrated reasonable probability counsel errors pleaded guilty insisted going trial hill judgment appeals sixth circuit reversed case remanded proceedings consistent opinion ordered justice gorsuch took part consideration decision case thomas dissenting jae lee petitioner writ certiorari appeals sixth circuit june justice thomas justice alito joins except part dissenting today holds defendant undo guilty plea well sentencing face overwhelming evidence guilt chosen pursue defense trial reasonable chance success attorney properly advised immigration consequences plea neither sixth amendment precedents support conclusion respectfully dissent initial matter remain view sixth amendment constitution requir counsel provide accurate advice concerning potential removal consequences guilty plea padilla kentucky scalia joined thomas dissenting therefore affirm appeals ground sixth amendment apply allegedly ineffective assistance case ii today announces novel standard prejudice plea stage dissent separate ground standard follow precedents parties agree prejudice inquiry context governed strickland washington see ante brief petitioner brief strickland held defendant may establish claim ineffective assistance counsel showing counsel representation fell objective standard reasonableness relevant representation prejudiced defendant actually ha ving adverse effect defense establish prejudice strickland defendant must show reasonable probability counsel unprofessional errors result proceeding different strickland made clear result proceeding refers outcome defendant criminal prosecution whole defined reasonable probability probability sufficient undermine confidence outcome ibid emphasis added explained error counsel warrant setting aside judgment criminal proceeding error effect judgment emphasis added parties agree inquiry assumes objective decisionmaker brief petitioner brief conclusion also follows directly strickland according strickland assessment likelihood result favorable defendant must exclude possibility arbitrariness whimsy caprice like depend subjective factors idiosyncrasies particular decisionmaker including decisionmaker unusual propensities toward harshness leniency ibid factors flatly irrelevant prejudice inquiry ibid words defendant entitlement luck lawless decisionmaker ibid instead assessment prejudice proceed assumption decisionmaker reasonably conscientiously impartially applying standards govern decision ibid extended right effective counsel plea stage see hill lockhart held standard strickland applies repeating strickland teaching even unreasonable error counsel warrant setting aside long error effect quoting sure said majority today emphasizes defendant asserting ineffectiveness claim plea stage must show reasonable probability counsel errors pleaded guilty insisted going trial requirement merely reflects reality defendant show outcome case different accepted current plea anyway words defendant ability show gone trial necessary sufficient establish prejudice hill went explain strickland test applies way plea context contexts particular assessment primarily turn prediction whether absence counsel error evidence defendant innocence guilt likely changed outcome proceeding thus defendant show prejudice gone trial also done either acquitted convicted nevertheless given shorter sentence actually received ibid quoting evans meyer emphasis added sum proper inquiry requires defendant show rejected plea gone trial likely obtained favorable result end extent hill ambiguous standard precedents applying confirm interpretation premo moore emphasized strict adherence strickland standard essential reviewing claims attorney error plea bargain stage case defendant argued counsel constitutionally ineffective failed seek suppression confession pleaded contest analyzing prejudice issue focus solely whether suppression hearing turned differently whether defendant chosen go trial focused well weight evidence defendant fact likely obtained favorable result trial regardless whether succeeded suppression hearing see describing state case formidable observing bargain counsel struck plea agreement favorable one defendant compared might happened trial missouri frye took similar approach case extended hill hold counsel constitutionally ineffective failing communicate plea deal defendant emphasized addition showing reasonable probability defendant accepted earlier plea offer also necessary show reasonable probability end result criminal process favorable reason plea lesser charge sentence less prison time see also defendant must show reasonable probability accepted lapsed plea also reasonable probability prosecution adhered agreement accepted trial emphasis added short focus solely whether defendant accepted plea instead required defendant show ultimate outcome different finally decision lafler cooper effect case concluded counsel may constitutionally ineffective causing defendant reject plea deal accepted emphasized prejudice inquiry requires showing criminal prosecution ultimately ended differently defendant merely defendant accepted deal stated defendant circumstances must show reasonable probability conviction sentence offer terms less severe judgment sentence fact imposed ibid precedents consistent cases governing right effective assistance counsel contexts held right effective counsel applies critical stages criminal proceedings montejo louisiana internal quotation marks omitted stages include entry guilty plea also arraignments postindictment interrogation postindictment lineups frye supra citing cases circumstances held prejudice inquiry focuses whether stage proceeding ended differently instead made clear prejudice inquiry strickland requires defendant establish better end counsel erred see majority misapplies precedents concludes defendant may establish prejudice showing pleaded guilty insisted going trial without showing result trial different result plea bargain ante internal quotation marks omitted reaching conclusion relies almost exclusively single line hill defendant must show reasonable probability counsel errors pleaded guilty insisted going trial reasons explained sentence prescribes threshold showing defendant must make establish strickland prejudice defendant accepted guilty plea hill concluded defendant made showing rejected claim however hold defendant establish prejudice making showing alone majority also relies case arises completely different context roe considered defendant claim attorney failed file notice appeal see observed lawyer failure file notice appeal arguably led judicial proceeding disputed reliability instead forfeiture proceeding today observes petitioner guilty plea meant go trial ante trial took place reasons strong presumption ante quoting supra presumption reliability apply may depend strickland statement defendant entitlement luck lawless decisionmaker ante quoting point key majority conclusion petitioner chosen gamble trial even though viable defense majority analysis however directly contrary hill instructed undertaking prejudice analysis apply presumption reliability hypothetical trial occurred defendant pleaded guilty explaining engage predictive inquiry likelihood defendant securing better result trial said explained strickland washington supra predictions outcome possible trial necessary made objectively without regard particular decisionmaker quoting quote comes paragraph strickland discussion presumption reliability attaches trial words hill instructs prejudice inquiry must presume foregone trial reliable majority responds hill made statements presuming reliable trial discussing courts analyze outcome possible trial always ante quoting hill agree inquiry always necessary necessary hill defendant show threshold rejected plea chosen go trial caveat says nothing application presumption reliability defendant make threshold showing event hill recognized guilty pleas generally reliable guilty pleas rarely give rise concern unfair procedures may resulted conviction innocent defendant internal quotation marks omitted counseled plea guilty admission factual guilt reliable voluntary intelligent quite validly removes issue factual guilt case menna new york per curiam emphasis deleted guilty pleas like completed trials therefore entitled protections collateral attack strickland prejudice standard affords finally majority dispute prejudice inquiry frye lafler focused whether defendant established reasonable probability different outcome majority instead distinguishes cases ground involved defendant accept guilty plea see ante according majority cases articulated different way show prejudice suited context pleas accepted ibid frye lafler hill matter purport establish different test prejudice contrary repeatedly stated applying standard strickland hill supra emphasis added accord frye hill established claims ineffective assistance counsel plea bargain context governed test set forth strickland lafler applying strickland majority today abandons pretense applying strickland claims ineffective assistance counsel arise plea stage instead concludes one standard applies defendant goes trial strickland another standard applies defendant accepts plea hill yet another standard applies counsel apprise defendant available plea defendant rejects plea frye lafler approach leaves little doubt open ed whole new field constitutionalized criminal procedure law despite repeated assurances applying strickland standard along lafler supra scalia dissenting view take precedents word conclude error counsel warrant setting aside judgment criminal proceeding error effect judgment strickland iii applying ordinary strickland standard case think defendant petitioner circumstances show reasonable probability result criminal proceeding different pleaded guilty petitioner dispute possessed large quantities illegal drugs government secured witness purchased drugs directly light overwhelming evidence guilt wl wd mar appeals concluded petitioner bona fide defense even weak one chance succeeding thro mary trial ante explained however strickland expressly foreclosed relying possibility hail mary establish prejudice see supra strickland made clear prejudice assessment proceed assumption decisionmaker reasonably conscientiously impartially applying standards govern decision face overwhelming evidence guilt absence bona fide defense reasonable jury applying law facts case find defendant guilty reasonable probability verdict defendant petitioner shoes therefore suffered deportation consequences regardless whether accepted plea went trial thus plainly better accepted plea gone trial faced deportation consequences also likely received higher prison sentence finding petitioner established prejudice circumstances turns strickland head iv decision today pernicious consequences criminal justice system shown special solicitude plea process brings stability certainty criminal justice system premo warned prospect collateral challenges threatens undermine important values ibid explained rosecutors must assurance plea undone years later lest forgo plea bargains benefit defendants result favorable one today provides assurance plea deals negotiated good faith guilty defendants remain final one thing artificially cabined standard prejudice plea context likely generate high volume challenges existing future plea agreements majority standard defendants bringing challenges bear relatively low burden show prejudice whereas defendant asserting ordinary claim ineffective assistance counsel must prove ultimate outcome case different today holds defendant pleaded guilty need show rejected plea gone trial standard appear particularly demanding even defendant smallest chance success trial relying nothing may able satisfy ante another limit holding immigration consequences rule long defendant alleges counsel omitted misadvised piece information plea process considered paramount importance ante allege plausible claim ineffective assistance counsel addition undermining finality rule impose significant costs courts prosecutors standard challenge guilty plea highly undertaking petitioner suggests claim least require hearing get th facts table tr oral arg given percent criminal convictions result guilty pleas frye burden holding evidentiary hearings claims significant circumstances defendant admitted guilt evidence overwhelming bona fide defense strategy see justification imposing costs reasons affirm judgment appeals respectfully dissent footnotes dissent also relies heavily missouri frye lafler cooper cases involved defendants alleged attorney incompetence accepted plea deal hill rejected plea frye lafler highlighted difference immediately following sentence dissent plucks frye post opinion thomas explained application strickland instances uncommunicated lapsed plea nothing alter standard laid hill hill correctly decided applies context arose lafler decided day frye reiterated contrast hill ineffective advice led offer acceptance rejection frye lafler articulated different way show prejudice suited context pleas accepted additional element hill inquiry see frye hill provide sole means demonstrating prejudice arising deficient performance counsel plea negotiations contrary dissent assertion post depart strickland requirement prejudice issue required prejudice may shown lee also argues show prejudice attorney advised deported accepted government plea offer bargained plea deal result certain deportation given conclusion lee show prejudice based reasonable probability gone trial need reach argument dissent makes much fact hill lockhart also noted courts ignore idiosyncrasies particular decisionmaker post quoting hill internal quotation marks omitted hill made statement discussing courts analyze predictions outcome possible trial explained assessing effect types attorney errors defendants decisionmaking involves predictions attorney error allegedly affects trial played analyze error effects defendant decisionmaking making prediction likely trial outcome hill recognized predictions always necessary prediction neither necessary appropriate error one alleged pertinent trial outcome instead alleged affected defendant understanding consequences guilty plea several courts noted judge warnings plea colloquy may undermine claim defendant prejudiced attorney misadvice see newman cadc kayode akinsade boyd yukins fed appx present case involves claim ineffectiveness counsel extending advice specifically undermining judge warnings defendant contemporaneously stated record understand suggestion sentencing judge statements plea colloquy cured prejudice erroneous advice lee counsel footnotes enough defendant show obtained better plea agreement defendant right offered plea missouri frye lafler cooper never concluded defendant show reasonable probability different result based purely hypothetical plea offer subject absolute executive discretion